Russia, Nato and the war of the sanctions part2

We in the last years became witnesses in a series by more and more severe collisions between the allies of the U. S. and Russia as beginning with the georgian war in 2008, resulted in by the syrian crisis in 2013 and, completely recently, by the crisis in Ukraine. Eventhough each of these failures only on themselves, were too dangerous, so far they did not have so apparent international economydimensions. War of the sanctions that reached such level brought until the outburst a peculiar the ukrainian crisis barely, yes causedphysical economy detriment not only to Russia, but Germany and Poland Two greatest trading Moscow partners.

For the moment the russian economy is held relatively well but the last events induce me to think that she is endangered by deeprecession. The more short petroleum prices will (and be a well big exporter blond) badly hit the more russian - made economy. Somethingmore given the downturn of the value of the russian money by more by 50 percent through the last months acerb will accrete the inflation ofthe user's values.

What can will be able to do Russia in this situation? One claims that Putin will prepare mass plan for limiting the corruption and enhancingthe economic efficiency but still if she will turn out successful, her realization will take time, does agency of the sanctions think that she willovercompensate completely. If they will not be revoked in soon a weather, Russia will probably experience time of economic shakeouts.However, the black russian economy status is namely this due to which you were started and the war of the sanctions for U. S. and Nato for sufficient large detriment of the russians that will force Putin to allow the lubrication of the rebellion in East Ukraine by the government in Kiev and even restoring Crimea in the members of the ukrainian state on the other hand to be superimposed. Макар и I am not an expert in this sphere affable, an end spot is cost, probable for Putin to tend toward suchlike push. He is very plain in Russia and Тоне only due to the protracted period of hardy economy increase but because they think him to be a strong leader, you enshrine the national interests of the country. The simple russians will support their ethnic buddies in East Ukraine and Crimea and will fly into shock if Moscow permitsthwarting the guerrillas. In this, for the sanctions, the russians are apt to recriminate for the economy fusses namely the U. S. and Nato, huh non-Putin.

But, correct I as will Putin hold up did it continue too plain on its volt-Ukraine and will, without inspection to the inevitable recession how didthis will work, at large, on the move of the currency wars? Primarily, it intends Germany, Poland, Slovakia and more other, trading Moscowpartners will hit acerb economy downturn as well. This would will have determined political effect in all occasions. In these stay away froman especial there, where there are weak governments and unpopular leaders, the opposition could will be proclaimed cancellation of thesanctions for a way to come of power like целесоъбразен. The government already opposed further sanctions against Russia at practice,in Slovakia ad esempio.

With second space, this will mean that instead of standing with скръствам arms, suffers tacitly, Russia will look for an opportunity forabates the economy dependence by the west. This is anymore clearly after Putin practiced cardinal business deals in the sphere of theenergy sector and the military industry with China and India, as well as with a range of other countries. Deepens of Russia affiliations with other states some of the knee breech team, with and not only with them, probably they will beget concern with the U. S. but the true be the americans can do too little to prevent the happening.Using the american dollar as base payment spare international money is from the west world of the russian dependence among thecardinal aspects. Therefore it is not fantastic that the last russian energy bargains are with China including her, the construction of an oldgas line between the two states, is funded and pays with chinese kwais, and not with dollars.

Not only Russia, but also knee breech of, as a whole, uniform expresses dissatisfaction, made of the ball - shaped монетарни treaties oriented in the dollar Inclusive institution Бретънуудските Imf and the world bank. Here is why did they come out to form the own parallel institutions recently and signed few bipartite common payments agreements with their own currencies, as well as with merchant's non-pant significant other aiming themselves, he gives his dependence намалат by the dollar. But even though these initiatives throw, bridge with herrelevant world Economy, at large By the dollar, the very process walks in declination, slowly we do not make her old Witnesses ofinternational монетарна crisis, probable, will claim years.

The necessity for Russia to strengthen its economy and its currency however does not suffer stay of execution. She can not await thegradual development of the international монетарната system that influencing the sanctions mellows. Therefore let us think, What wasother done the russians in the nearest future?