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Monday, February 3, 2014

Recovery in Europe is lagging behind that of the U.S. by between 12 and 18 months

It is time to abandon the defensive positions and bet on cyclical stocks recommended analyst Julius Baer.

Recovery in Europe where there is still some risk regarding the quality of bank assets , lags behind that in the United States between 12 and 18 months , told Bloomerg Johannes Justus, Director of Julius Baer in London.

He warns of the structural problems in emerging markets , and recommends that investors avoid countries with unstable currencies generally have problems with its trade balance.

" So choose those countries or regions where the external balance is in better condition. Central Asia may offer better opportunities compared to Latin America or the New Europe , "he said .

However, for the moment economist prefers stock markets of developed countries, especially the United States. There he advised to bet on cyclical stocks , those who have sensitive exposure to growth and to abandon the defensive positions that are too expensive .

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