Future of Eurasia

Eurasian continent is experiencing a tectonic geopolitical changes. Ending centuries of domination by the West, and especially Europe. Two world wars provoked by the West in the twentieth century, demonstrated depletion of power methods to achieve expansionist geopolitical objectives. After World War II Western Europe as a result of patronage and dependence on the United States, became a protectorate of Washington.
Despite a successful integration project, after the fall of the Berlin Wall in Europeans began to form downright communist behavioral reflexes. The main threat to the existence of the EU is not in the economic field and in the growth of a kind of "civil totalitarianism" and the dictatorship of tolerance.
Global systemic crisis led to the ER of Superproject aimed at keeping the leading position of the West in global competition. According to Washington's plans, the global project to create a Transatlantic Free Trade Area (TAFTA), ie of "economic NATO" must preserve the dominant position of the US in the world. That is, the first set is not the battle for Eurasia and closer integration into the Western Allies.
As expected, the European Parliament elections in May 2014 resulted in a significant strengthening of the positions the eurosceptics whose campaign was held under the slogan "Let's liberate Europe from the EU." Of course, this will not result in the foreseeable future to the collapse of the European Union, but will finally cease trying to penetrate into the interior of the Great Eurasian Steppe (in this context, "European choice" Ukraine will eventually be a big failure) .
Further enlargement of the EU will be limited by the shortage of financial resources and the need to be "integrated" Western Balkans remained in the "rear" of the Union.
Actually, the truth is that in the formation of a new geopolitical structure of the world and the shifting of the poles of economic development in the East to the West to date it is not confrontation with Russia and geo-economic project of "Greater Europe" from Paris to Vladivostok.
Unfortunately, what is happening in Ukraine shows that this is still not realized. In Brussels, you should be aware that when Washington coast, declare that it will not allow the Eurasian, or any other, integration of post-Soviet space, Europe - contrary - should welcome such integration.
In practice, the Eurasian integration is beneficial for the West because, among other things, would transfer the problem to the expansion of the consumer market of the EU at the expense of poor Ukraine at a high level of relations between the still and the emerging Eurasian Union. If this does not happen, by the Eurasian project will benefit (and already do) complexes deprived of countries in the Asia-Pacific region (and especially China), expanding its integration with Russia in the economic sphere.
Is needed not only civilizational dialogue between Western and iztochnoevroepeyskata traditions, but also looking for a new model of relations with the Muslim world. And, as is well known, namely Eurasian Russia has centuries of experience such interaction between Christian (Orthodox) and Muslim world.
So for the foreseeable future as the most acceptable seems geopolitical architecture based on the triad: Western Europe, Eastern Europe and Turan and reporting specifics of zapadnohristiyanskata, Orthodox and Muslim (Turkic) civilizations. For the foundation of this architecture of world order can serve axis Berlin - Moscow - Ankara.
Leading geopolitical player supercontinent Eurasia became China that expands its economic presence abroad and built numerous staging. Formed is a stable tendency to amplify the Chinese presence in major geopolitical units of Eurasia. At the same time post-Soviet Russia and held not to eat excessive illusions about its strategic alliance with Beijing.
The Blue Paper on the development of the Asia-Pacific region, published in 2013 by the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, says that although participation in the SCO Russia still considers Central Asia "sphere of influence", though it does not have the necessary about economic power. It is argued that just because China is poised to become the leading power in the region. The report specifically points out that regardless of the resolution of a number of contentious border issues and deepen strategic mutual trust, the likelihood of recovery of the whole allied relations between Beijing and Moscow is not particularly large.
China actively pursued a policy for the implementation of the Southern branch of the "Great Silk Road" in Central Asia and the Middle East. So far, serious technical (but political) problem here is the width of railway gauge. As is known, railways in Central Asia are widely Russian gauge (1,520 mm), while those in China - normal European (1435 mm).
But if in Central Asia are still negotiating the route of the railway line in the South Caucasus and the route will pass through Georgia and Azerbaijan. International agreement for the construction and modernization of the line Baku - Tbilisi - Kars was signed by Turkey, Georgia and Azerbaijan already in 2005, but the active implementation of the project started after the visit in 2012, the Turkish example in Beijing and signed an agreement with the financing of the project by China.
At the end of October 2013 came into operation Marmaray underwater railway tunnel, 13.6 km long by 1.5 km pass under the Bosphorus. The cost of the tunnel is about 4 billion. Dollars. It is part of the southern branch of the "Great Silk Road". Speed ​​railway line will cross Turkey to the west (Edirne) to the east (Kars), where in Georgia and Azerbaijan will reach Baku. The construction of the Turkish section of the railway highway (1500 km) will be completed in 2023.
In 2013 the Azerbaijani company SOCAR Turkiye start construction of commercial port Petkim Konteyner, near Izmir (near Aliaga). The construction of the container terminal, which can handle up to 4 million. Container annually. The project is worth 400 million. Dollars. Thus, Azerbaijan will have access, on the southern branch of the "Great Silk Road", to the Mediterranean and the World Ocean freight to the port will be supplied with trains.
At the same time, it is too early to celebrate the Russian victory in the Middle East, although the Syrian government forces turned the war in that country. As a result of the liquidation of chemical weapons to Damascus, however, was disturbed the balance of power in the region of the Levant, where Israel has nuclear weapons. After the withdrawal of the main US military contingent and A long period of "forced democratization" Afghanistan will gradually begin to return to Eurasia in this country will increase China's influence (as far as it goes in one embodiment of the southern branch of the Road Silk) and, somewhat, Russia.
The Balkans continued US military presence underpinned puppet (criminal) regimes in Kosovo, and soon, in Montenegro. Brussels again faces the difficult task of integrating the Western Balkans into the geo-economic space of the EU. For the first time in the ancient history of the Crimea, there also emerged a Chinese presence that after joining the peninsula to Russia imperatively requires coordination of Beijing's plans with the strategic interests of Russia in the region.
In general, the Eurasian continent is emerging competition between three integration projects (EU, Russia and China).
Written by Prof. Dr. Vladimir DERGACHOV