Trends in three major engine of the global economy - the U.S., Europe and China will continue to drive commodity exchanges.
In view of the gradual overall decline in commodity prices that began in early 2013, investors were left with mixed feelings about the future of the sector. The stock market is often criticized for its instability and rampant speculation. However, these two market characteristics often make it possible for investors to bet a large amount of risk to bullish trend, but that does not subsequently materialize in a generous reward.
European and American economies show signs of recovery in the previous year. Largely in this column may fall and Japan, although the long-term success of the Cabinet of Shinzo Abe continues to be quite controversial. And although China slowed down, the combination of all generally positive macro data will be revealed to investors are better prospects for commodity markets.
Wall Street reported a strong 2013, which many believe the beginning of a positive development in the longer term. The U.S. stock market finally get out of the spiral of volatility, which had fallen after the crisis of 2008 it had a positive impact and the entire economy as inflation accelerated to 1.2 percent, and unemployment fell to 5 year low 7 per cent.
On the continent the market largely continue to be sluggish, although some progress has been made in the economy. Estimates are that over the next 3 to 5 years the eurozone will enjoy a small but steady growth. This will return to the rails the whole European economy that retains its position as the second largest market in the world.
No However, the situation for China, which once again slowed down to a level about the government target of 7.5 percent. Despite the impressive increase in comparison with the U.S. and Europe the rate was dramatically lower compared to achieved a year earlier 9.7%.
Important notice, of course, is that the data for the expansion of the Chinese economy are provided by local government. Makers in Beijing are often blamed for the inaccuracy of statistical evidence.
Against the background of developments in the three main engines of the global economy's future in the global commodity market remains uncertain. The expected slowdown in China in the coming years will lead to a decline in global consumption of goods. However, the European and American economies that are currently taking place at a relatively slow speed will require more goods to stimulate expansion over the next few years.
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Although reported good rise in 2013, according to the Ministry of Agriculture of the U.S. cotton market is expected to be relatively balanced in the coming months. Price moves in the not very widely compared to the large rise in 2011
Affected by the massive contamination in crops, the production of oranges in Florida will reach nearly 10-year low, according to the Ministry of Agriculture of the United States. As the second world producer after Brazil, the state is an important player in the Exotic feedstock.
Ranked third position in 2013, natural gas was first stimulated by the cold months of the year, as well as the early onset of winter in the U.S. this year. Demand for heating oil provokes significant collapse of stocks of raw materials in the U.S..
Stocks of palm oil in Indonesia - the largest producer of raw materials in the world - fell sharply in 2013 amid a combination of lower production and strong demand. Production of Asian countries are expected to account for its first annual decline since 1998.
The decline in supply and growth in demand sent cocoa prestigious first position in the ranking for 2013 Adverse weather conditions in the largest producers of the raw material - Ivory Coast and Ghana, and record sales in Asia pushing up the value.
Demand most populous continent doubled in the last ten years, but remain below levels seen in the West. However, according to estimates of the International Cocoa Organization (ICO) global demand outpacing supply within the next six years.
What was in 2013, according to you - what are the key events and what are your expectations for next year? What moves the markets? Bitcoin will take you into the lives of the general public? Will there be a correction of the stock market and you will withdraw U.S. monetary stimulus?
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